Premier League · Matchday 14
Tottenham vs Arsenal: prediction, analysis and match stats
Tottenham
#8 in the table
16:00Sat 5 Dec
Arsenal
#2 in the table
Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London
Premier League · Matchday 14
Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London
This match is in 35 days. Come back a few days before, or look at a closer match.
See matches you can analyse →According to the Copafever model, Arsenal are favourites at 42% (draw 27%, Tottenham 31%). Most likely score: 1-2.
Computed on 1 November 2026 at 06:55 · 60% right on 65 checked matches
Tottenham host Arsenal on Saturday, 5 December 2026 at 16:00 (Paris time), at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London, Matchday 14 of the Premier League.
Tottenham took 10 points from their last 5 matches: W W W D L (1.6 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per match).
Arsenal took 11 points from their last 5 matches: D W D W W (1.8 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per match).
Tottenham are 8th and Arsenal 2nd in the Premier League table.
Over the last 5 meetings: 1 win for Tottenham, 0 draws and 4 wins for Arsenal.
At home this season, Tottenham score 1.3 goals and concede 1.5 per match. Away, Arsenal score 1.0 goal and concede 0.8 per match.
Tottenham at home this season: 4 matches, 1 clean sheet, 2 without scoring. Most used system: 4-2-3-1.
Arsenal away this season: 4 matches, 3 clean sheets, 1 without scoring. Most used system: 4-2-3-1.
The Copafever model computes the probability of all 81 possible scores of Tottenham vs Arsenal (0-0 to 8-8) with a Poisson model fed by the real match data: form, home and away results, the table, head-to-head, goals and absentees. For the match result it is combined with the market consensus (margin removed). No odds are shown and Copafever links to no betting site. The full method
In the Premier League, the Copafever model called the right outcome in 67% of the 9 matches already checked (random would be about 33%).