UEFA Champions League · Matchday 5 of the league phase
Arsenal vs Borussia Dortmund: prediction, analysis and match stats
Arsenal
#2 in the table
21:00Tue 24 Nov
Borussia Dortmund
#2 in the table
Emirates Stadium, London
UEFA Champions League · Matchday 5 of the league phase
Emirates Stadium, London
This match is in 28 days. Come back a few days before, or look at a closer match.
According to the Copafever model, Arsenal are favourites at 39% (draw 25%, Borussia Dortmund 36%). Most likely score: 2-1.
Computed on 27 October 2026 at 23:18 · 61% right on 41 checked matches
Arsenal host Borussia Dortmund on Tuesday, 24 November 2026 at 21:00 (Paris time), at Emirates Stadium, London, Matchday 5 of the league phase of the UEFA Champions League.
Arsenal took 13 points from their last 5 matches: W D W W W (1.9 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per match).
Borussia Dortmund took 8 points from their last 5 matches: W W D L D (2.0 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per match).
Arsenal are 2nd and Borussia Dortmund 2nd in the UEFA Champions League table.
Over the last 5 meetings: 2 wins for Arsenal, 0 draws and 3 wins for Borussia Dortmund.
At home this season, Arsenal score 2.3 goals and concede 0.5 per match. Away, Borussia Dortmund score 1.3 goals and concede 0.7 per match.
Arsenal at home this season: 4 matches, 2 clean sheets, 0 without scoring. Most used system: 4-2-3-1.
Borussia Dortmund away this season: 3 matches, 2 clean sheets, 1 without scoring. Most used system: 3-4-2-1.
The Copafever model computes the probability of all 81 possible scores of Arsenal vs Borussia Dortmund (0-0 to 8-8) with a Poisson model fed by the real match data: form, home and away results, the table, head-to-head, goals and absentees. For the match result it is combined with the market consensus (margin removed). No odds are shown and Copafever links to no betting site. The full method