UEFA Champions League · Matchday 5 of the league phase
RB Leipzig vs Lens: prediction, analysis and match stats
Red Bull Arena, Leipzig
UEFA Champions League · Matchday 5 of the league phase
Red Bull Arena, Leipzig
This match is in 29 days. Come back a few days before, or look at a closer match.
According to the Copafever model, RB Leipzig are favourites at 63% (draw 19%, Lens 18%). Most likely score: 2-1.
Computed on 27 October 2026 at 20:09 · 61% right on 41 checked matches
RB Leipzig host Lens on Tuesday, 24 November 2026 at 21:00 (Paris time), at Red Bull Arena, Leipzig, Matchday 5 of the league phase of the UEFA Champions League.
RB Leipzig took 9 points from their last 5 matches: W L L W W (2.3 goals scored and 1.9 conceded per match).
Lens took 9 points from their last 5 matches: W L W L W (1.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match).
RB Leipzig are 5th and Lens 7th in the UEFA Champions League table.
Over the last 1 meetings: 0 wins for RB Leipzig, 0 draws and 1 win for Lens.
At home this season, RB Leipzig score 4.5 goals and concede 0.0 per match. Away, Lens score 1.8 goals and concede 1.8 per match.
RB Leipzig at home this season: 4 matches, 4 clean sheets, 0 without scoring. Most used system: 4-3-3.
Lens away this season: 4 matches, 0 clean sheets, 0 without scoring. Most used system: 3-4-2-1.
The Copafever model computes the probability of all 81 possible scores of RB Leipzig vs Lens (0-0 to 8-8) with a Poisson model fed by the real match data: form, home and away results, the table, head-to-head, goals and absentees. For the match result it is combined with the market consensus (margin removed). No odds are shown and Copafever links to no betting site. The full method