Bundesliga · Matchday 25
Borussia Dortmund vs Bayern München: prediction, analysis and match stats
Signal Iduna Park, Dortmund
The analysis opens 7 days before kick-off
This match is in 126 days. Come back a few days before, or look at a closer match.
See matches you can analyse →Borussia Dortmund vs Bayern München prediction: who is the favourite?
According to the Copafever model, Borussia Dortmund are favourites at 42% (draw 24%, Bayern München 34%). Most likely score: 2-1.
- 42 %Borussia Dortmund
- 24 %Draw
- 34 %Bayern München
Computed on 1 November 2026 at 08:07 · 60% right on 65 checked matches
Borussia Dortmund vs Bayern München: key facts
- Copafever model favourite: Borussia Dortmund (42%), most likely score 2-1.
- Same form: 11 points from their last 5 matches each.
- Borussia Dortmund are 2nd and Bayern München 1st in the Bundesliga table.
- Over the last 5 meetings: 0 wins for Borussia Dortmund, 2 draws and 3 wins for Bayern München.
When and where is Borussia Dortmund vs Bayern München?
Borussia Dortmund host Bayern München on Saturday, 6 March 2027 at 15:30 (Paris time), at Signal Iduna Park, Dortmund, Matchday 25 of the Bundesliga.
What form are both teams in?
Borussia Dortmund took 11 points from their last 5 matches: D W W W D (1.7 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match).
Bayern München took 11 points from their last 5 matches: D W W D W (3.8 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match).
Borussia Dortmund are 2nd and Bayern München 1st in the Bundesliga table.
What does the head-to-head say?
Over the last 5 meetings: 0 wins for Borussia Dortmund, 2 draws and 3 wins for Bayern München.
- 31/10/2026 · Bayern München 2-2 Borussia Dortmund
- 22/08/2026 · Borussia Dortmund 1-2 Bayern München
- 28/02/2026 · Borussia Dortmund 2-3 Bayern München
- 18/10/2025 · Bayern München 2-1 Borussia Dortmund
- 12/04/2025 · Bayern München 2-2 Borussia Dortmund
How many goals to expect?
At home this season, Borussia Dortmund score 2.0 goals and concede 0.5 per match. Away, Bayern München score 1.8 goals and concede 1.0 per match.
What do the season stats say?
Borussia Dortmund at home this season: 4 matches, 3 clean sheets, 0 without scoring. Most used system: 3-4-2-1.
Bayern München away this season: 4 matches, 1 clean sheet, 1 without scoring. Most used system: 4-2-3-1.
How does Copafever compute this prediction?
The Copafever model computes the probability of all 81 possible scores of Borussia Dortmund vs Bayern München (0-0 to 8-8) with a Poisson model fed by the real match data: form, home and away results, the table, head-to-head, goals and absentees. For the match result it is combined with the market consensus (margin removed). No odds are shown and Copafever links to no betting site. The full method