Bundesliga · Matchday 25
FSV Mainz 05 vs SV Elversberg: prediction, analysis and match stats
Mewa Arena, Mainz
The analysis opens 7 days before kick-off
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See matches you can analyse →FSV Mainz 05 vs SV Elversberg prediction: who is the favourite?
According to the Copafever model, SV Elversberg are favourites at 39% (draw 23%, FSV Mainz 05 38%). Most likely score: 2-3.
- 38 %FSV Mainz 05
- 23 %Draw
- 39 %SV Elversberg
Computed on 1 November 2026 at 08:07 · 60% right on 65 checked matches
FSV Mainz 05 vs SV Elversberg: key facts
- Copafever model favourite: SV Elversberg (39%), most likely score 2-3.
- Better form: SV Elversberg (6 points from 5 matches, against 3).
- FSV Mainz 05 are 8th and SV Elversberg 7th in the Bundesliga table.
- Over the last 3 meetings: 1 win for FSV Mainz 05, 1 draw and 1 win for SV Elversberg.
When and where is FSV Mainz 05 vs SV Elversberg?
FSV Mainz 05 host SV Elversberg on Saturday, 6 March 2027 at 15:30 (Paris time), at Mewa Arena, Mainz, Matchday 25 of the Bundesliga.
What form are both teams in?
FSV Mainz 05 took 3 points from their last 5 matches: L L L W L (2.0 goals scored and 1.9 conceded per match).
SV Elversberg took 6 points from their last 5 matches: W L L W L (1.7 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per match).
FSV Mainz 05 are 8th and SV Elversberg 7th in the Bundesliga table.
What does the head-to-head say?
Over the last 3 meetings: 1 win for FSV Mainz 05, 1 draw and 1 win for SV Elversberg.
- 30/10/2026 · SV Elversberg 4-1 FSV Mainz 05
- 12/08/2023 · SV Elversberg 0-1 FSV Mainz 05
- 08/08/2021 · SV Elversberg 2-2 (7-8 tab) FSV Mainz 05
How many goals to expect?
At home this season, FSV Mainz 05 score 1.5 goals and concede 2.5 per match. Away, SV Elversberg score 1.0 goal and concede 2.0 per match.
What do the season stats say?
FSV Mainz 05 at home this season: 4 matches, 1 clean sheet, 1 without scoring. Most used system: 3-5-2.
SV Elversberg away this season: 4 matches, 1 clean sheet, 3 without scoring. Most used system: 4-2-3-1.
How does Copafever compute this prediction?
The Copafever model computes the probability of all 81 possible scores of FSV Mainz 05 vs SV Elversberg (0-0 to 8-8) with a Poisson model fed by the real match data: form, home and away results, the table, head-to-head, goals and absentees. For the match result it is combined with the market consensus (margin removed). No odds are shown and Copafever links to no betting site. The full method