Bundesliga · Matchday 25
VfB Stuttgart vs Bayer Leverkusen: prediction, analysis and match stats
MHPArena, Stuttgart
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See matches you can analyse →VfB Stuttgart vs Bayer Leverkusen prediction: who is the favourite?
According to the Copafever model, Bayer Leverkusen are favourites at 43% (draw 23%, VfB Stuttgart 34%). Most likely score: 2-3.
- 34 %VfB Stuttgart
- 23 %Draw
- 43 %Bayer Leverkusen
Computed on 1 November 2026 at 07:13 · 60% right on 65 checked matches
VfB Stuttgart vs Bayer Leverkusen: key facts
- Copafever model favourite: Bayer Leverkusen (43%), most likely score 2-3.
- Better form: Bayer Leverkusen (9 points from 5 matches, against 7).
- VfB Stuttgart are 10th and Bayer Leverkusen 6th in the Bundesliga table.
- Over the last 5 meetings: 3 wins for VfB Stuttgart, 1 draw and 1 win for Bayer Leverkusen.
When and where is VfB Stuttgart vs Bayer Leverkusen?
VfB Stuttgart host Bayer Leverkusen on Saturday, 6 March 2027 at 15:30 (Paris time), at MHPArena, Stuttgart, Matchday 25 of the Bundesliga.
What form are both teams in?
VfB Stuttgart took 7 points from their last 5 matches: W W L D L (2.1 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per match).
Bayer Leverkusen took 9 points from their last 5 matches: L W L W W (2.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match).
VfB Stuttgart are 10th and Bayer Leverkusen 6th in the Bundesliga table.
What does the head-to-head say?
Over the last 5 meetings: 3 wins for VfB Stuttgart, 1 draw and 1 win for Bayer Leverkusen.
- 31/10/2026 · Bayer Leverkusen 2-4 VfB Stuttgart
- 09/05/2026 · VfB Stuttgart 3-1 Bayer Leverkusen
- 10/01/2026 · Bayer Leverkusen 1-4 VfB Stuttgart
- 16/03/2025 · VfB Stuttgart 3-4 Bayer Leverkusen
- 01/11/2024 · Bayer Leverkusen 0-0 VfB Stuttgart
How many goals to expect?
At home this season, VfB Stuttgart score 2.0 goals and concede 1.7 per match. Away, Bayer Leverkusen score 2.0 goals and concede 2.8 per match.
What do the season stats say?
VfB Stuttgart at home this season: 3 matches, 0 clean sheets, 1 without scoring. Most used system: 3-4-2-1.
Bayer Leverkusen away this season: 4 matches, 0 clean sheets, 1 without scoring. Most used system: 4-2-3-1.
How does Copafever compute this prediction?
The Copafever model computes the probability of all 81 possible scores of VfB Stuttgart vs Bayer Leverkusen (0-0 to 8-8) with a Poisson model fed by the real match data: form, home and away results, the table, head-to-head, goals and absentees. For the match result it is combined with the market consensus (margin removed). No odds are shown and Copafever links to no betting site. The full method