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Match analysis · 2026/27 season

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Championship · Matchday 17

Bristol City vs Wrexham: prediction, analysis and match stats

Bristol City
#14 in the table
20:45Tue 24 Nov
Wrexham
#18 in the table

Ashton Gate Stadium, Bristol

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Bristol City vs Wrexham prediction: who is the favourite?

According to the Copafever model, Bristol City are favourites at 40% (draw 29%, Wrexham 31%). Most likely score: 2-1.

  • 40 %Bristol City
  • 29 %Draw
  • 31 %Wrexham

Computed on 3 November 2026 at 02:00 · 63% right on 152 checked matches

Bristol City vs Wrexham: key facts

  • Copafever model favourite: Bristol City (40%), most likely score 2-1.
  • Better form: Bristol City (5 points from 5 matches, against 4).
  • Bristol City are 14th and Wrexham 18th in the Championship table.
  • Over the last 2 meetings: 0 wins for Bristol City, 1 draw and 1 win for Wrexham.

When and where is Bristol City vs Wrexham?

Bristol City host Wrexham on Tuesday, 24 November 2026 at 20:45 (Paris time), at Ashton Gate Stadium, Bristol, Matchday 17 of the Championship.

What form are both teams in?

Bristol City took 5 points from their last 5 matches: W D L L D (1.0 goal scored and 1.1 conceded per match).

Wrexham took 4 points from their last 5 matches: L L W L D (1.2 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match).

Bristol City are 14th and Wrexham 18th in the Championship table.

What does the head-to-head say?

Over the last 2 meetings: 0 wins for Bristol City, 1 draw and 1 win for Wrexham.

  • 17/02/2026 · Bristol City 2-2 Wrexham
  • 26/11/2025 · Wrexham 2-0 Bristol City

How many goals to expect?

At home this season, Bristol City score 0.5 goals and concede 1.0 per match. Away, Wrexham score 0.7 goals and concede 1.6 per match.

What do the season stats say?

Bristol City at home this season: 6 matches, 1 clean sheet, 4 without scoring. Most used system: 4-2-3-1.

Wrexham away this season: 7 matches, 2 clean sheets, 4 without scoring. Most used system: 3-4-2-1.

How does Copafever compute this prediction?

The Copafever model computes the probability of all 81 possible scores of Bristol City vs Wrexham (0-0 to 8-8) with a Poisson model fed by the real match data: form, home and away results, the table, head-to-head, goals and absentees. For the match result it is combined with the market consensus (margin removed). No odds are shown and Copafever links to no betting site. The full method

In the Championship, the Copafever model called the right outcome in 83% of the 12 matches already checked (random would be about 33%).

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