What is the Middlesbrough vs Swansea prediction?

According to the Copafever model, Middlesbrough are favourites at 46% (draw 24%, Swansea 30%). Most likely score: 2-1. Computed on 3 November 2026 at 01:59 (Paris time) from form, the table, head-to-head, goals, absentees and the market consensus. No odds shown, no betting site. The Copafever model called the right outcome in 63% of the 152 matches already checked, misses included.

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MID vs SWA

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Championship · Matchday 17

Middlesbrough vs Swansea: prediction, analysis and match stats

Q: When is Middlesbrough vs Swansea?

Middlesbrough vs Swansea is played on Tuesday, 24 November 2026 at 20:45 (Paris time), at Riverside Stadium, Middlesbrough, Matchday 17 of the Championship.

Middlesbrough

#1 in the table

20:45Tue 24 Nov

Swansea

#2 in the table

Riverside Stadium, Middlesbrough

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Middlesbrough vs Swansea prediction: who is the favourite?

According to the Copafever model, Middlesbrough are favourites at 46% (draw 24%, Swansea 30%). Most likely score: 2-1.

46 %Middlesbrough
24 %Draw
30 %Swansea

Computed on 3 November 2026 at 01:59 · 63% right on 152 checked matches

Middlesbrough vs Swansea: key facts

Copafever model favourite: Middlesbrough (46%), most likely score 2-1.
Better form: Middlesbrough (13 points from 5 matches, against 9).
Middlesbrough are 1st and Swansea 2nd in the Championship table.
Over the last 5 meetings: 3 wins for Middlesbrough, 1 draw and 1 win for Swansea.

When and where is Middlesbrough vs Swansea?

Middlesbrough host Swansea on Tuesday, 24 November 2026 at 20:45 (Paris time), at Riverside Stadium, Middlesbrough, Matchday 17 of the Championship.

What form are both teams in?

Middlesbrough took 13 points from their last 5 matches: W W D W W (2.3 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match).

Swansea took 9 points from their last 5 matches: W L L W W (1.5 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match).

Middlesbrough are 1st and Swansea 2nd in the Championship table.

What does the head-to-head say?

Over the last 5 meetings: 3 wins for Middlesbrough, 1 draw and 1 win for Swansea.

06/04/2026 · Swansea 2-2 Middlesbrough
09/08/2025 · Middlesbrough 1-0 Swansea
08/03/2025 · Swansea 1-0 Middlesbrough
10/08/2024 · Middlesbrough 1-0 Swansea
06/04/2024 · Middlesbrough 2-0 Swansea

How many goals to expect?

At home this season, Middlesbrough score 2.4 goals and concede 1.3 per match. Away, Swansea score 1.5 goals and concede 1.7 per match.

What do the season stats say?

Middlesbrough at home this season: 7 matches, 2 clean sheets, 0 without scoring. Most used system: 4-2-3-1.

Swansea away this season: 6 matches, 2 clean sheets, 1 without scoring. Most used system: 4-3-3.

How does Copafever compute this prediction?

The Copafever model computes the probability of all 81 possible scores of Middlesbrough vs Swansea (0-0 to 8-8) with a Poisson model fed by the real match data: form, home and away results, the table, head-to-head, goals and absentees. For the match result it is combined with the market consensus (margin removed). No odds are shown and Copafever links to no betting site. The full method

In the Championship, the Copafever model called the right outcome in 83% of the 12 matches already checked (random would be about 33%).

How does Copafever compute this prediction?

In the Championship, the Copafever model called the right outcome in 83% of the 12 matches already checked (random would be about 33%).