Eredivisie · Matchday 14
Feyenoord vs Ajax: prediction, analysis and match stats
De Kuip, Rotterdam
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See matches you can analyse →Feyenoord vs Ajax prediction: who is the favourite?
According to the Copafever model, Ajax are favourites at 46% (draw 22%, Feyenoord 32%). Most likely score: 2-3.
- 32 %Feyenoord
- 22 %Draw
- 46 %Ajax
Computed on 3 November 2026 at 15:10 · 62% right on 156 checked matches
Feyenoord vs Ajax: key facts
- Copafever model favourite: Ajax (46%), most likely score 2-3.
- Better form: Ajax (12 points from 5 matches, against 8).
- Feyenoord are 1st and Ajax 2nd in the Eredivisie table.
- Over the last 5 meetings: 1 win for Feyenoord, 1 draw and 3 wins for Ajax.
When and where is Feyenoord vs Ajax?
Feyenoord host Ajax on Sunday, 29 November 2026 at 14:30 (Paris time), at De Kuip, Rotterdam, Matchday 14 of the Eredivisie.
What form are both teams in?
Feyenoord took 8 points from their last 5 matches: D D L W W (2.7 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match).
Ajax took 12 points from their last 5 matches: W W W W L (2.5 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match).
Feyenoord are 1st and Ajax 2nd in the Eredivisie table.
What does the head-to-head say?
Over the last 5 meetings: 1 win for Feyenoord, 1 draw and 3 wins for Ajax.
- 22/03/2026 · Feyenoord 1-1 Ajax
- 14/12/2025 · Ajax 2-0 Feyenoord
- 02/02/2025 · Ajax 2-1 Feyenoord
- 30/10/2024 · Feyenoord 0-2 Ajax
- 07/04/2024 · Feyenoord 6-0 Ajax
How many goals to expect?
At home this season, Feyenoord score 2.4 goals and concede 1.0 per match. Away, Ajax score 3.6 goals and concede 0.8 per match.
What do the season stats say?
Feyenoord at home this season: 5 matches, 2 clean sheets, 0 without scoring. Most used system: 4-3-3.
Ajax away this season: 5 matches, 2 clean sheets, 0 without scoring. Most used system: 4-3-3.
How does Copafever compute this prediction?
The Copafever model computes the probability of all 81 possible scores of Feyenoord vs Ajax (0-0 to 8-8) with a Poisson model fed by the real match data: form, home and away results, the table, head-to-head, goals and absentees. For the match result it is combined with the market consensus (margin removed). No odds are shown and Copafever links to no betting site. The full method
In the Eredivisie, the Copafever model called the right outcome in 56% of the 9 matches already checked (random would be about 33%).