Eredivisie · Matchday 14
Fortuna Sittard vs Heerenveen: prediction, analysis and match stats
Fortuna Sittard Stadion, Sittard
The analysis opens 7 days before kick-off
This match is in 27 days. Come back a few days before, or look at a closer match.
See matches you can analyse →Fortuna Sittard vs Heerenveen prediction: who is the favourite?
According to the Copafever model, Heerenveen are favourites at 45% (draw 23%, Fortuna Sittard 32%). Most likely score: 1-2.
- 32 %Fortuna Sittard
- 23 %Draw
- 45 %Heerenveen
Computed on 3 November 2026 at 12:53 · 62% right on 156 checked matches
Fortuna Sittard vs Heerenveen: key facts
- Copafever model favourite: Heerenveen (45%), most likely score 1-2.
- Better form: Heerenveen (12 points from 5 matches, against 7).
- Fortuna Sittard are 6th and Heerenveen 7th in the Eredivisie table.
- Over the last 5 meetings: 2 wins for Fortuna Sittard, 2 draws and 1 win for Heerenveen.
When and where is Fortuna Sittard vs Heerenveen?
Fortuna Sittard host Heerenveen on Sunday, 29 November 2026 at 14:30 (Paris time), at Fortuna Sittard Stadion, Sittard, Matchday 14 of the Eredivisie.
What form are both teams in?
Fortuna Sittard took 7 points from their last 5 matches: D D W D D (1.7 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match).
Heerenveen took 12 points from their last 5 matches: W W W W L (1.8 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per match).
Fortuna Sittard are 6th and Heerenveen 7th in the Eredivisie table.
What does the head-to-head say?
Over the last 5 meetings: 2 wins for Fortuna Sittard, 2 draws and 1 win for Heerenveen.
- 25/04/2026 · Heerenveen 2-1 Fortuna Sittard
- 08/11/2025 · Fortuna Sittard 2-0 Heerenveen
- 01/02/2025 · Heerenveen 2-2 Fortuna Sittard
- 02/11/2024 · Fortuna Sittard 3-0 Heerenveen
- 03/02/2024 · Fortuna Sittard 3-3 Heerenveen
How many goals to expect?
At home this season, Fortuna Sittard score 1.2 goals and concede 1.8 per match. Away, Heerenveen score 2.2 goals and concede 1.6 per match.
What do the season stats say?
Fortuna Sittard at home this season: 5 matches, 1 clean sheet, 1 without scoring. Most used system: 5-3-2.
Heerenveen away this season: 5 matches, 1 clean sheet, 1 without scoring. Most used system: 4-2-3-1.
How does Copafever compute this prediction?
The Copafever model computes the probability of all 81 possible scores of Fortuna Sittard vs Heerenveen (0-0 to 8-8) with a Poisson model fed by the real match data: form, home and away results, the table, head-to-head, goals and absentees. For the match result it is combined with the market consensus (margin removed). No odds are shown and Copafever links to no betting site. The full method
In the Eredivisie, the Copafever model called the right outcome in 56% of the 9 matches already checked (random would be about 33%).