What is the PEC Zwolle vs AZ Alkmaar prediction?

According to the Copafever model, AZ Alkmaar are favourites at 53% (draw 22%, PEC Zwolle 25%). Most likely score: 1-2. Computed on 3 November 2026 at 15:15 (Paris time) from form, the table, head-to-head, goals, absentees and the market consensus. No odds shown, no betting site. The Copafever model called the right outcome in 62% of the 156 matches already checked, misses included.

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Eredivisie · Matchday 14

PEC Zwolle vs AZ Alkmaar: prediction, analysis and match stats

Q: When is PEC Zwolle vs AZ Alkmaar?

PEC Zwolle vs AZ Alkmaar is played on Sunday, 29 November 2026 at 16:45 (Paris time), at Zwolle, Matchday 14 of the Eredivisie.

PEC Zwolle

#14 in the table

16:45Sun 29 Nov

AZ Alkmaar

#5 in the table

, Zwolle

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PEC Zwolle vs AZ Alkmaar prediction: who is the favourite?

According to the Copafever model, AZ Alkmaar are favourites at 53% (draw 22%, PEC Zwolle 25%). Most likely score: 1-2.

25 %PEC Zwolle
22 %Draw
53 %AZ Alkmaar

Computed on 3 November 2026 at 15:15 · 62% right on 156 checked matches

PEC Zwolle vs AZ Alkmaar: key facts

Copafever model favourite: AZ Alkmaar (53%), most likely score 1-2.
Same form: 7 points from their last 5 matches each.
PEC Zwolle are 14th and AZ Alkmaar 5th in the Eredivisie table.
Over the last 5 meetings: 1 win for PEC Zwolle, 1 draw and 3 wins for AZ Alkmaar.

When and where is PEC Zwolle vs AZ Alkmaar?

PEC Zwolle host AZ Alkmaar on Sunday, 29 November 2026 at 16:45 (Paris time), at Zwolle, Matchday 14 of the Eredivisie.

What form are both teams in?

PEC Zwolle took 7 points from their last 5 matches: W L D W L (1.2 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per match).

AZ Alkmaar took 7 points from their last 5 matches: L L W D W (1.3 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match).

PEC Zwolle are 14th and AZ Alkmaar 5th in the Eredivisie table.

What does the head-to-head say?

Over the last 5 meetings: 1 win for PEC Zwolle, 1 draw and 3 wins for AZ Alkmaar.

17/01/2026 · PEC Zwolle 3-1 AZ Alkmaar
03/12/2025 · PEC Zwolle 1-3 AZ Alkmaar
24/09/2025 · AZ Alkmaar 2-2 PEC Zwolle
09/02/2025 · AZ Alkmaar 2-0 PEC Zwolle
20/09/2024 · PEC Zwolle 1-2 AZ Alkmaar

How many goals to expect?

At home this season, PEC Zwolle score 1.0 goal and concede 2.3 per match. Away, AZ Alkmaar score 1.8 goals and concede 1.3 per match.

What do the season stats say?

PEC Zwolle at home this season: 6 matches, 1 clean sheet, 3 without scoring. Most used system: 4-2-3-1.

AZ Alkmaar away this season: 6 matches, 1 clean sheet, 2 without scoring. Most used system: 4-2-3-1.

How does Copafever compute this prediction?

The Copafever model computes the probability of all 81 possible scores of PEC Zwolle vs AZ Alkmaar (0-0 to 8-8) with a Poisson model fed by the real match data: form, home and away results, the table, head-to-head, goals and absentees. For the match result it is combined with the market consensus (margin removed). No odds are shown and Copafever links to no betting site. The full method

In the Eredivisie, the Copafever model called the right outcome in 56% of the 9 matches already checked (random would be about 33%).

How does Copafever compute this prediction?

In the Eredivisie, the Copafever model called the right outcome in 56% of the 9 matches already checked (random would be about 33%).