Eredivisie · Matchday 14
NEC Nijmegen vs Twente: prediction, analysis and match stats
Goffertstadion, Nijmegen
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See matches you can analyse →NEC Nijmegen vs Twente prediction: who is the favourite?
According to the Copafever model, Twente are favourites at 58% (draw 20%, NEC Nijmegen 22%). Most likely score: 1-2.
- 22 %NEC Nijmegen
- 20 %Draw
- 58 %Twente
Computed on 3 November 2026 at 12:57 · 62% right on 156 checked matches
NEC Nijmegen vs Twente: key facts
- Copafever model favourite: Twente (58%), most likely score 1-2.
- Better form: Twente (12 points from 5 matches, against 6).
- NEC Nijmegen are 13th and Twente 4th in the Eredivisie table.
- Over the last 5 meetings: 0 wins for NEC Nijmegen, 2 draws and 3 wins for Twente.
When and where is NEC Nijmegen vs Twente?
NEC Nijmegen host Twente on Sunday, 29 November 2026 at 20:00 (Paris time), at Goffertstadion, Nijmegen, Matchday 14 of the Eredivisie.
What form are both teams in?
NEC Nijmegen took 6 points from their last 5 matches: L D W D D (1.3 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per match).
Twente took 12 points from their last 5 matches: W W W L W (3.1 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per match).
NEC Nijmegen are 13th and Twente 4th in the Eredivisie table.
What does the head-to-head say?
Over the last 5 meetings: 0 wins for NEC Nijmegen, 2 draws and 3 wins for Twente.
- 25/04/2026 · Twente 1-1 NEC Nijmegen
- 18/10/2025 · NEC Nijmegen 3-3 Twente
- 22/05/2025 · Twente 3-2 NEC Nijmegen
- 23/02/2025 · Twente 2-0 NEC Nijmegen
- 10/08/2024 · NEC Nijmegen 1-2 Twente
How many goals to expect?
At home this season, NEC Nijmegen score 1.5 goals and concede 2.0 per match. Away, Twente score 3.0 goals and concede 0.8 per match.
What do the season stats say?
NEC Nijmegen at home this season: 6 matches, 0 clean sheets, 0 without scoring. Most used system: 3-4-2-1.
Twente away this season: 6 matches, 2 clean sheets, 1 without scoring. Most used system: 4-2-3-1.
How does Copafever compute this prediction?
The Copafever model computes the probability of all 81 possible scores of NEC Nijmegen vs Twente (0-0 to 8-8) with a Poisson model fed by the real match data: form, home and away results, the table, head-to-head, goals and absentees. For the match result it is combined with the market consensus (margin removed). No odds are shown and Copafever links to no betting site. The full method
In the Eredivisie, the Copafever model called the right outcome in 56% of the 9 matches already checked (random would be about 33%).