Championship · Matchday 16
Middlesbrough vs Bristol City: prediction, analysis and match stats
Riverside Stadium, Middlesbrough
The analysis opens 7 days before kick-off
This match is in 22 days. Come back a few days before, or look at a closer match.
See matches you can analyse →Middlesbrough vs Bristol City prediction: who is the favourite?
According to the Copafever model, Middlesbrough are favourites at 50% (draw 23%, Bristol City 27%). Most likely score: 2-1.
- 50 %Middlesbrough
- 23 %Draw
- 27 %Bristol City
Computed on 31 October 2026 at 01:20 · 60% right on 50 checked matches
Middlesbrough vs Bristol City: key facts
- Copafever model favourite: Middlesbrough (50%), most likely score 2-1.
- Better form: Middlesbrough (11 points from 5 matches, against 5).
- Middlesbrough are 1st and Bristol City 14th in the Championship table.
- Over the last 5 meetings: 0 wins for Middlesbrough, 1 draw and 4 wins for Bristol City.
When and where is Middlesbrough vs Bristol City?
Middlesbrough host Bristol City on Saturday, 21 November 2026 at 16:00 (Paris time), at Riverside Stadium, Middlesbrough, Matchday 16 of the Championship.
What form are both teams in?
Middlesbrough took 11 points from their last 5 matches: W D W W D (2.1 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match).
Bristol City took 5 points from their last 5 matches: D L L D W (1.0 goal scored and 1.0 conceded per match).
Middlesbrough are 1st and Bristol City 14th in the Championship table.
What does the head-to-head say?
Over the last 5 meetings: 0 wins for Middlesbrough, 1 draw and 4 wins for Bristol City.
- 14/03/2026 · Middlesbrough 1-1 Bristol City
- 20/12/2025 · Bristol City 2-0 Middlesbrough
- 21/02/2025 · Bristol City 2-1 Middlesbrough
- 19/10/2024 · Middlesbrough 0-2 Bristol City
- 10/02/2024 · Middlesbrough 1-2 Bristol City
How many goals to expect?
At home this season, Middlesbrough score 2.3 goals and concede 1.5 per match. Away, Bristol City score 1.5 goals and concede 1.5 per match.
What do the season stats say?
Middlesbrough at home this season: 6 matches, 1 clean sheet, 0 without scoring. Most used system: 4-2-3-1.
Bristol City away this season: 6 matches, 1 clean sheet, 1 without scoring. Most used system: 4-2-3-1.
How does Copafever compute this prediction?
The Copafever model computes the probability of all 81 possible scores of Middlesbrough vs Bristol City (0-0 to 8-8) with a Poisson model fed by the real match data: form, home and away results, the table, head-to-head, goals and absentees. For the match result it is combined with the market consensus (margin removed). No odds are shown and Copafever links to no betting site. The full method