Championship · Matchday 16
Stoke City vs Birmingham: prediction, analysis and match stats
Bet365 Stadium, Stoke on Trent
The analysis opens 7 days before kick-off
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See matches you can analyse →Stoke City vs Birmingham prediction: who is the favourite?
According to the Copafever model, Stoke City are favourites at 39% (draw 27%, Birmingham 34%). Most likely score: 2-1.
- 39 %Stoke City
- 27 %Draw
- 34 %Birmingham
Computed on 31 October 2026 at 01:21 · 60% right on 50 checked matches
Stoke City vs Birmingham: key facts
- Copafever model favourite: Stoke City (39%), most likely score 2-1.
- Same form: 10 points from their last 5 matches each.
- Stoke City are 9th and Birmingham 7th in the Championship table.
- Over the last 5 meetings: 2 wins for Stoke City, 2 draws and 1 win for Birmingham.
When and where is Stoke City vs Birmingham?
Stoke City host Birmingham on Saturday, 21 November 2026 at 16:00 (Paris time), at Bet365 Stadium, Stoke on Trent, Matchday 16 of the Championship.
What form are both teams in?
Stoke City took 10 points from their last 5 matches: D W L W W (1.6 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per match).
Birmingham took 10 points from their last 5 matches: L W W W D (1.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match).
Stoke City are 9th and Birmingham 7th in the Championship table.
What does the head-to-head say?
Over the last 5 meetings: 2 wins for Stoke City, 2 draws and 1 win for Birmingham.
- 24/01/2026 · Birmingham 1-1 Stoke City
- 13/09/2025 · Stoke City 1-0 Birmingham
- 20/01/2024 · Stoke City 1-2 Birmingham
- 26/12/2023 · Birmingham 1-3 Stoke City
- 10/04/2023 · Birmingham 0-0 Stoke City
How many goals to expect?
At home this season, Stoke City score 1.7 goals and concede 1.0 per match. Away, Birmingham score 1.0 goal and concede 0.8 per match.
What do the season stats say?
Stoke City at home this season: 6 matches, 3 clean sheets, 1 without scoring. Most used system: 3-4-3.
Birmingham away this season: 6 matches, 2 clean sheets, 2 without scoring. Most used system: 4-2-3-1.
How does Copafever compute this prediction?
The Copafever model computes the probability of all 81 possible scores of Stoke City vs Birmingham (0-0 to 8-8) with a Poisson model fed by the real match data: form, home and away results, the table, head-to-head, goals and absentees. For the match result it is combined with the market consensus (margin removed). No odds are shown and Copafever links to no betting site. The full method