Serie A · Matchday 35
Fiorentina vs AS Roma: prediction, analysis and match stats
Stadio Artemio Franchi, Florence
The analysis opens 7 days before kick-off
This match is in 190 days. Come back a few days before, or look at a closer match.
See matches you can analyse →Fiorentina vs AS Roma prediction: who is the favourite?
According to the Copafever model, AS Roma are favourites at 63% (draw 21%, Fiorentina 16%). Most likely score: 1-2.
- 16 %Fiorentina
- 21 %Draw
- 63 %AS Roma
Computed on 1 November 2026 at 08:07 · 60% right on 65 checked matches
Fiorentina vs AS Roma: key facts
- Copafever model favourite: AS Roma (63%), most likely score 1-2.
- Better form: AS Roma (13 points from 5 matches, against 2).
- Fiorentina are 17th and AS Roma 3rd in the Serie A table.
- Over the last 5 meetings: 1 win for Fiorentina, 0 draws and 4 wins for AS Roma.
When and where is Fiorentina vs AS Roma?
Fiorentina host AS Roma on Sunday, 9 May 2027 at 18:30 (Paris time), at Stadio Artemio Franchi, Florence, Matchday 35 of the Serie A.
What form are both teams in?
Fiorentina took 2 points from their last 5 matches: D L L L D (1.4 goals scored and 2.1 conceded per match).
AS Roma took 13 points from their last 5 matches: W W D W W (2.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match).
Fiorentina are 17th and AS Roma 3rd in the Serie A table.
What does the head-to-head say?
Over the last 5 meetings: 1 win for Fiorentina, 0 draws and 4 wins for AS Roma.
- 24/08/2026 · AS Roma 4-0 Fiorentina
- 04/05/2026 · AS Roma 4-0 Fiorentina
- 05/10/2025 · Fiorentina 1-2 AS Roma
- 04/05/2025 · AS Roma 1-0 Fiorentina
- 27/10/2024 · Fiorentina 5-1 AS Roma
How many goals to expect?
At home this season, Fiorentina score 1.0 goal and concede 2.2 per match. Away, AS Roma score 2.8 goals and concede 1.0 per match.
What do the season stats say?
Fiorentina at home this season: 5 matches, 0 clean sheets, 1 without scoring. Most used system: 4-3-3.
AS Roma away this season: 5 matches, 3 clean sheets, 1 without scoring. Most used system: 3-4-2-1.
How does Copafever compute this prediction?
The Copafever model computes the probability of all 81 possible scores of Fiorentina vs AS Roma (0-0 to 8-8) with a Poisson model fed by the real match data: form, home and away results, the table, head-to-head, goals and absentees. For the match result it is combined with the market consensus (margin removed). No odds are shown and Copafever links to no betting site. The full method
In the Serie A, the Copafever model called the right outcome in 60% of the 15 matches already checked (random would be about 33%).