Serie A · Matchday 35
Inter vs Lecce: prediction, analysis and match stats
, Milan
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See matches you can analyse →Inter vs Lecce prediction: who is the favourite?
According to the Copafever model, Inter are favourites at 59% (draw 21%, Lecce 20%). Most likely score: 2-1.
- 59 %Inter
- 21 %Draw
- 20 %Lecce
Computed on 1 November 2026 at 08:05 · 60% right on 65 checked matches
Inter vs Lecce: key facts
- Copafever model favourite: Inter (59%), most likely score 2-1.
- Better form: Inter (12 points from 5 matches, against 3).
- Inter are 2nd and Lecce 14th in the Serie A table.
- Over the last 5 meetings: 5 wins for Inter, 0 draws and 0 wins for Lecce.
When and where is Inter vs Lecce?
Inter host Lecce on Sunday, 9 May 2027 at 18:30 (Paris time), at Milan, Matchday 35 of the Serie A.
What form are both teams in?
Inter took 12 points from their last 5 matches: L W W W W (2.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match).
Lecce took 3 points from their last 5 matches: L L W L L (1.0 goal scored and 2.1 conceded per match).
Inter are 2nd and Lecce 14th in the Serie A table.
What does the head-to-head say?
Over the last 5 meetings: 5 wins for Inter, 0 draws and 0 wins for Lecce.
- 21/02/2026 · Lecce 0-2 Inter
- 14/01/2026 · Inter 1-0 Lecce
- 26/01/2025 · Lecce 0-4 Inter
- 24/08/2024 · Inter 2-0 Lecce
- 25/02/2024 · Lecce 0-4 Inter
How many goals to expect?
At home this season, Inter score 3.4 goals and concede 1.4 per match. Away, Lecce score 1.2 goals and concede 1.8 per match.
What do the season stats say?
Inter at home this season: 5 matches, 1 clean sheet, 0 without scoring. Most used system: 3-5-2.
Lecce away this season: 5 matches, 2 clean sheets, 2 without scoring. Most used system: 4-3-3.
How does Copafever compute this prediction?
The Copafever model computes the probability of all 81 possible scores of Inter vs Lecce (0-0 to 8-8) with a Poisson model fed by the real match data: form, home and away results, the table, head-to-head, goals and absentees. For the match result it is combined with the market consensus (margin removed). No odds are shown and Copafever links to no betting site. The full method
In the Serie A, the Copafever model called the right outcome in 60% of the 15 matches already checked (random would be about 33%).