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Match analysis · 2026/27 season

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PAR vs MIL
Real data🇮🇹 Serie A

Serie A · Matchday 35

Parma vs AC Milan: prediction, analysis and match stats

Parma
#18 in the table
18:30Sun 9 May
AC Milan
#4 in the table

Stadio Ennio Tardini, Parma

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Parma vs AC Milan prediction: who is the favourite?

According to the Copafever model, AC Milan are favourites at 51% (draw 27%, Parma 22%). Most likely score: 1-2.

  • 22 %Parma
  • 27 %Draw
  • 51 %AC Milan

Computed on 1 November 2026 at 08:05 · 60% right on 65 checked matches

Parma vs AC Milan: key facts

  • Copafever model favourite: AC Milan (51%), most likely score 1-2.
  • Better form: AC Milan (9 points from 5 matches, against 4).
  • Parma are 18th and AC Milan 4th in the Serie A table.
  • Over the last 5 meetings: 2 wins for Parma, 1 draw and 2 wins for AC Milan.

When and where is Parma vs AC Milan?

Parma host AC Milan on Sunday, 9 May 2027 at 18:30 (Paris time), at Stadio Ennio Tardini, Parma, Matchday 35 of the Serie A.

What form are both teams in?

Parma took 4 points from their last 5 matches: D L L L W (0.5 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per match).

AC Milan took 9 points from their last 5 matches: W L W L W (2.0 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match).

Parma are 18th and AC Milan 4th in the Serie A table.

What does the head-to-head say?

Over the last 5 meetings: 2 wins for Parma, 1 draw and 2 wins for AC Milan.

  • 22/02/2026 · AC Milan 0-1 Parma
  • 08/11/2025 · Parma 2-2 AC Milan
  • 26/01/2025 · AC Milan 3-2 Parma
  • 24/08/2024 · Parma 2-1 AC Milan
  • 10/04/2021 · Parma 1-3 AC Milan

How many goals to expect?

At home this season, Parma score 0.6 goals and concede 1.2 per match. Away, AC Milan score 1.6 goals and concede 1.0 per match.

What do the season stats say?

Parma at home this season: 5 matches, 1 clean sheet, 3 without scoring. Most used system: 3-4-2-1.

AC Milan away this season: 5 matches, 1 clean sheet, 0 without scoring. Most used system: 3-4-2-1.

How does Copafever compute this prediction?

The Copafever model computes the probability of all 81 possible scores of Parma vs AC Milan (0-0 to 8-8) with a Poisson model fed by the real match data: form, home and away results, the table, head-to-head, goals and absentees. For the match result it is combined with the market consensus (margin removed). No odds are shown and Copafever links to no betting site. The full method

In the Serie A, the Copafever model called the right outcome in 60% of the 15 matches already checked (random would be about 33%).

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Copafever · Match analysis · Real data