Serie A · Matchday 35
Lazio vs Sassuolo: prediction, analysis and match stats
Stadio Olimpico, Rome
The analysis opens 7 days before kick-off
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See matches you can analyse →Lazio vs Sassuolo prediction: who is the favourite?
According to the Copafever model, Lazio are favourites at 59% (draw 22%, Sassuolo 19%). Most likely score: 2-1.
- 59 %Lazio
- 22 %Draw
- 19 %Sassuolo
Computed on 1 November 2026 at 08:06 · 60% right on 65 checked matches
Lazio vs Sassuolo: key facts
- Copafever model favourite: Lazio (59%), most likely score 2-1.
- Better form: Lazio (13 points from 5 matches, against 1).
- Lazio are 1st and Sassuolo 15th in the Serie A table.
- Over the last 5 meetings: 3 wins for Lazio, 1 draw and 1 win for Sassuolo.
When and where is Lazio vs Sassuolo?
Lazio host Sassuolo on Sunday, 9 May 2027 at 18:30 (Paris time), at Stadio Olimpico, Rome, Matchday 35 of the Serie A.
What form are both teams in?
Lazio took 13 points from their last 5 matches: W W W W D (2.6 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match).
Sassuolo took 1 points from their last 5 matches: L L L D L (1.5 goals scored and 2.3 conceded per match).
Lazio are 1st and Sassuolo 15th in the Serie A table.
What does the head-to-head say?
Over the last 5 meetings: 3 wins for Lazio, 1 draw and 1 win for Sassuolo.
- 27/10/2026 · Sassuolo 2-6 Lazio
- 09/03/2026 · Lazio 2-1 Sassuolo
- 14/09/2025 · Sassuolo 1-0 Lazio
- 26/05/2024 · Lazio 1-1 Sassuolo
- 21/10/2023 · Sassuolo 0-2 Lazio
How many goals to expect?
At home this season, Lazio score 2.0 goals and concede 1.0 per match. Away, Sassuolo score 1.2 goals and concede 2.4 per match.
What do the season stats say?
Lazio at home this season: 4 matches, 1 clean sheet, 0 without scoring. Most used system: 4-3-3.
Sassuolo away this season: 5 matches, 0 clean sheets, 1 without scoring. Most used system: 4-3-3.
How does Copafever compute this prediction?
The Copafever model computes the probability of all 81 possible scores of Lazio vs Sassuolo (0-0 to 8-8) with a Poisson model fed by the real match data: form, home and away results, the table, head-to-head, goals and absentees. For the match result it is combined with the market consensus (margin removed). No odds are shown and Copafever links to no betting site. The full method
In the Serie A, the Copafever model called the right outcome in 60% of the 15 matches already checked (random would be about 33%).