Serie A · Matchday 35
Napoli vs Monza: prediction, analysis and match stats
Stadio Diego Armando Maradona, Naples
The analysis opens 7 days before kick-off
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See matches you can analyse →Napoli vs Monza prediction: who is the favourite?
According to the Copafever model, Napoli are favourites at 55% (draw 22%, Monza 23%). Most likely score: 2-1.
- 55 %Napoli
- 22 %Draw
- 23 %Monza
Computed on 1 November 2026 at 08:05 · 60% right on 65 checked matches
Napoli vs Monza: key facts
- Copafever model favourite: Napoli (55%), most likely score 2-1.
- Better form: Napoli (7 points from 5 matches, against 3).
- Napoli are 7th and Monza 16th in the Serie A table.
- Over the last 5 meetings: 4 wins for Napoli, 1 draw and 0 wins for Monza.
When and where is Napoli vs Monza?
Napoli host Monza on Sunday, 9 May 2027 at 18:30 (Paris time), at Stadio Diego Armando Maradona, Naples, Matchday 35 of the Serie A.
What form are both teams in?
Napoli took 7 points from their last 5 matches: W D W L L (1.9 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match).
Monza took 3 points from their last 5 matches: L L L W L (1.8 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per match).
Napoli are 7th and Monza 16th in the Serie A table.
What does the head-to-head say?
Over the last 5 meetings: 4 wins for Napoli, 1 draw and 0 wins for Monza.
- 28/10/2026 · Monza 1-4 Napoli
- 19/04/2025 · Monza 0-1 Napoli
- 29/09/2024 · Napoli 2-0 Monza
- 07/04/2024 · Monza 2-4 Napoli
- 29/12/2023 · Napoli 0-0 Monza
How many goals to expect?
At home this season, Napoli score 2.0 goals and concede 1.3 per match. Away, Monza score 1.3 goals and concede 2.7 per match.
What do the season stats say?
Napoli at home this season: 4 matches, 2 clean sheets, 0 without scoring. Most used system: 4-3-3.
Monza away this season: 6 matches, 0 clean sheets, 0 without scoring. Most used system: 3-4-2-1.
How does Copafever compute this prediction?
The Copafever model computes the probability of all 81 possible scores of Napoli vs Monza (0-0 to 8-8) with a Poisson model fed by the real match data: form, home and away results, the table, head-to-head, goals and absentees. For the match result it is combined with the market consensus (margin removed). No odds are shown and Copafever links to no betting site. The full method
In the Serie A, the Copafever model called the right outcome in 60% of the 15 matches already checked (random would be about 33%).