Serie A · Matchday 33
Cagliari vs Monza: prediction, analysis and match stats
Unipol Domus, Cagliari
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See matches you can analyse →Cagliari vs Monza prediction: who is the favourite?
According to the Copafever model, Cagliari are favourites at 45% (draw 26%, Monza 29%). Most likely score: 2-1.
- 45 %Cagliari
- 26 %Draw
- 29 %Monza
Computed on 1 November 2026 at 07:49 · 60% right on 65 checked matches
Cagliari vs Monza: key facts
- Copafever model favourite: Cagliari (45%), most likely score 2-1.
- Better form: Cagliari (4 points from 5 matches, against 3).
- Cagliari are 11th and Monza 16th in the Serie A table.
- Over the last 5 meetings: 2 wins for Cagliari, 1 draw and 2 wins for Monza.
When and where is Cagliari vs Monza?
Cagliari host Monza on Sunday, 25 April 2027 at 18:30 (Paris time), at Unipol Domus, Cagliari, Matchday 33 of the Serie A.
What form are both teams in?
Cagliari took 4 points from their last 5 matches: L L L D W (0.9 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match).
Monza took 3 points from their last 5 matches: L L L W L (1.8 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per match).
Cagliari are 11th and Monza 16th in the Serie A table.
What does the head-to-head say?
Over the last 5 meetings: 2 wins for Cagliari, 1 draw and 2 wins for Monza.
- 19/10/2026 · Monza 4-0 Cagliari
- 30/03/2025 · Cagliari 3-0 Monza
- 05/01/2025 · Monza 1-2 Cagliari
- 16/03/2024 · Monza 1-0 Cagliari
- 26/11/2023 · Cagliari 1-1 Monza
How many goals to expect?
At home this season, Cagliari score 0.5 goals and concede 1.0 per match. Away, Monza score 1.3 goals and concede 2.7 per match.
What do the season stats say?
Cagliari at home this season: 4 matches, 1 clean sheet, 2 without scoring. Most used system: 4-3-2-1.
Monza away this season: 6 matches, 0 clean sheets, 0 without scoring. Most used system: 3-4-2-1.
How does Copafever compute this prediction?
The Copafever model computes the probability of all 81 possible scores of Cagliari vs Monza (0-0 to 8-8) with a Poisson model fed by the real match data: form, home and away results, the table, head-to-head, goals and absentees. For the match result it is combined with the market consensus (margin removed). No odds are shown and Copafever links to no betting site. The full method
In the Serie A, the Copafever model called the right outcome in 60% of the 15 matches already checked (random would be about 33%).