What is the Lecce vs AC Milan prediction?

According to the Copafever model, AC Milan are favourites at 56% (draw 23%, Lecce 21%). Most likely score: 1-2. Computed on 1 November 2026 at 07:50 (Paris time) from form, the table, head-to-head, goals, absentees and the market consensus. No odds shown, no betting site. The Copafever model called the right outcome in 60% of the 65 matches already checked, misses included.

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LEC vs MIL

Real data🇮🇹 Serie A

Serie A · Matchday 33

Lecce vs AC Milan: prediction, analysis and match stats

Q: When is Lecce vs AC Milan?

Lecce vs AC Milan is played on Sunday, 25 April 2027 at 18:30 (Paris time), at Stadio Via del Mare, Lecce, Matchday 33 of the Serie A.

Lecce

#14 in the table

18:30Sun 25 Apr

AC Milan

#4 in the table

Stadio Via del Mare, Lecce

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Lecce vs AC Milan prediction: who is the favourite?

According to the Copafever model, AC Milan are favourites at 56% (draw 23%, Lecce 21%). Most likely score: 1-2.

21 %Lecce
23 %Draw
56 %AC Milan

Computed on 1 November 2026 at 07:50 · 60% right on 65 checked matches

Lecce vs AC Milan: key facts

Copafever model favourite: AC Milan (56%), most likely score 1-2.
Better form: AC Milan (9 points from 5 matches, against 3).
Lecce are 14th and AC Milan 4th in the Serie A table.
Over the last 5 meetings: 0 wins for Lecce, 0 draws and 5 wins for AC Milan.

When and where is Lecce vs AC Milan?

Lecce host AC Milan on Sunday, 25 April 2027 at 18:30 (Paris time), at Stadio Via del Mare, Lecce, Matchday 33 of the Serie A.

What form are both teams in?

Lecce took 3 points from their last 5 matches: L L W L L (1.0 goal scored and 2.1 conceded per match).

AC Milan took 9 points from their last 5 matches: W L W L W (2.0 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match).

Lecce are 14th and AC Milan 4th in the Serie A table.

What does the head-to-head say?

Over the last 5 meetings: 0 wins for Lecce, 0 draws and 5 wins for AC Milan.

20/09/2026 · AC Milan 3-0 Lecce
18/01/2026 · AC Milan 1-0 Lecce
23/09/2025 · AC Milan 3-0 Lecce
29/08/2025 · Lecce 0-2 AC Milan
08/03/2025 · Lecce 2-3 AC Milan

How many goals to expect?

At home this season, Lecce score 1.0 goal and concede 2.5 per match. Away, AC Milan score 1.6 goals and concede 1.0 per match.

What do the season stats say?

Lecce at home this season: 4 matches, 0 clean sheets, 2 without scoring. Most used system: 4-3-3.

AC Milan away this season: 5 matches, 1 clean sheet, 0 without scoring. Most used system: 3-4-2-1.

How does Copafever compute this prediction?

The Copafever model computes the probability of all 81 possible scores of Lecce vs AC Milan (0-0 to 8-8) with a Poisson model fed by the real match data: form, home and away results, the table, head-to-head, goals and absentees. For the match result it is combined with the market consensus (margin removed). No odds are shown and Copafever links to no betting site. The full method

In the Serie A, the Copafever model called the right outcome in 60% of the 15 matches already checked (random would be about 33%).

How does Copafever compute this prediction?

In the Serie A, the Copafever model called the right outcome in 60% of the 15 matches already checked (random would be about 33%).