Serie A · Matchday 33
Genoa vs Sassuolo: prediction, analysis and match stats
Stadio Luigi Ferraris, Genoa
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See matches you can analyse →Genoa vs Sassuolo prediction: who is the favourite?
According to the Copafever model, Genoa are favourites at 46% (draw 25%, Sassuolo 29%). Most likely score: 2-1.
- 46 %Genoa
- 25 %Draw
- 29 %Sassuolo
Computed on 1 November 2026 at 07:50 · 60% right on 65 checked matches
Genoa vs Sassuolo: key facts
- Copafever model favourite: Genoa (46%), most likely score 2-1.
- Better form: Genoa (9 points from 5 matches, against 1).
- Genoa are 13th and Sassuolo 15th in the Serie A table.
- Over the last 5 meetings: 4 wins for Genoa, 1 draw and 0 wins for Sassuolo.
When and where is Genoa vs Sassuolo?
Genoa host Sassuolo on Sunday, 25 April 2027 at 18:30 (Paris time), at Stadio Luigi Ferraris, Genoa, Matchday 33 of the Serie A.
What form are both teams in?
Genoa took 9 points from their last 5 matches: W W L W L (0.9 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match).
Sassuolo took 1 points from their last 5 matches: L L L D L (1.5 goals scored and 2.3 conceded per match).
Genoa are 13th and Sassuolo 15th in the Serie A table.
What does the head-to-head say?
Over the last 5 meetings: 4 wins for Genoa, 1 draw and 0 wins for Sassuolo.
- 12/04/2026 · Genoa 2-1 Sassuolo
- 03/11/2025 · Sassuolo 1-2 Genoa
- 12/05/2024 · Genoa 2-1 Sassuolo
- 22/12/2023 · Sassuolo 1-2 Genoa
- 06/01/2022 · Sassuolo 1-1 Genoa
How many goals to expect?
At home this season, Genoa score 1.2 goals and concede 1.3 per match. Away, Sassuolo score 1.2 goals and concede 2.4 per match.
What do the season stats say?
Genoa at home this season: 6 matches, 2 clean sheets, 1 without scoring. Most used system: 3-4-2-1.
Sassuolo away this season: 5 matches, 0 clean sheets, 1 without scoring. Most used system: 4-3-3.
How does Copafever compute this prediction?
The Copafever model computes the probability of all 81 possible scores of Genoa vs Sassuolo (0-0 to 8-8) with a Poisson model fed by the real match data: form, home and away results, the table, head-to-head, goals and absentees. For the match result it is combined with the market consensus (margin removed). No odds are shown and Copafever links to no betting site. The full method
In the Serie A, the Copafever model called the right outcome in 60% of the 15 matches already checked (random would be about 33%).