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Match analysis · 2026/27 season

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LAZ vs COM
Real data🇮🇹 Serie A

Serie A · Matchday 33

Lazio vs Como: prediction, analysis and match stats

Lazio
#1 in the table
18:30Sun 25 Apr
Como
#5 in the table

Stadio Olimpico, Rome

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Lazio vs Como prediction: who is the favourite?

According to the Copafever model, Lazio are favourites at 40% (draw 25%, Como 35%). Most likely score: 2-1.

  • 40 %Lazio
  • 25 %Draw
  • 35 %Como

Computed on 1 November 2026 at 07:48 · 60% right on 65 checked matches

Lazio vs Como: key facts

  • Copafever model favourite: Lazio (40%), most likely score 2-1.
  • Better form: Lazio (13 points from 5 matches, against 12).
  • Lazio are 1st and Como 5th in the Serie A table.
  • Over the last 4 meetings: 1 win for Lazio, 1 draw and 2 wins for Como.

When and where is Lazio vs Como?

Lazio host Como on Sunday, 25 April 2027 at 18:30 (Paris time), at Stadio Olimpico, Rome, Matchday 33 of the Serie A.

What form are both teams in?

Lazio took 13 points from their last 5 matches: W W W W D (2.6 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match).

Como took 12 points from their last 5 matches: W W W W L (2.4 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per match).

Lazio are 1st and Como 5th in the Serie A table.

What does the head-to-head say?

Over the last 4 meetings: 1 win for Lazio, 1 draw and 2 wins for Como.

  • 19/01/2026 · Lazio 0-3 Como
  • 24/08/2025 · Como 2-0 Lazio
  • 10/01/2025 · Lazio 1-1 Como
  • 31/10/2024 · Como 1-5 Lazio

How many goals to expect?

At home this season, Lazio score 2.0 goals and concede 1.0 per match. Away, Como score 2.2 goals and concede 1.2 per match.

What do the season stats say?

Lazio at home this season: 4 matches, 1 clean sheet, 0 without scoring. Most used system: 4-3-3.

Como away this season: 6 matches, 0 clean sheets, 1 without scoring. Most used system: 4-2-3-1.

How does Copafever compute this prediction?

The Copafever model computes the probability of all 81 possible scores of Lazio vs Como (0-0 to 8-8) with a Poisson model fed by the real match data: form, home and away results, the table, head-to-head, goals and absentees. For the match result it is combined with the market consensus (margin removed). No odds are shown and Copafever links to no betting site. The full method

In the Serie A, the Copafever model called the right outcome in 60% of the 15 matches already checked (random would be about 33%).

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Full Lazio vs Como history: record and every meeting →

Copafever · Match analysis · Real data