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Match analysis · 2026/27 season

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PAR vs ATA
Real data🇮🇹 Serie A

Serie A · Matchday 33

Parma vs Atalanta: prediction, analysis and match stats

Parma
#18 in the table
18:30Sun 25 Apr
Atalanta
#12 in the table

Stadio Ennio Tardini, Parma

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Parma vs Atalanta prediction: who is the favourite?

According to the Copafever model, Atalanta are favourites at 37% (draw 27%, Parma 36%). Most likely score: 1-2.

  • 36 %Parma
  • 27 %Draw
  • 37 %Atalanta

Computed on 1 November 2026 at 07:47 · 60% right on 65 checked matches

Parma vs Atalanta: key facts

  • Copafever model favourite: Atalanta (37%), most likely score 1-2.
  • Better form: Atalanta (5 points from 5 matches, against 4).
  • Parma are 18th and Atalanta 12th in the Serie A table.
  • Over the last 5 meetings: 2 wins for Parma, 1 draw and 2 wins for Atalanta.

When and where is Parma vs Atalanta?

Parma host Atalanta on Sunday, 25 April 2027 at 18:30 (Paris time), at Stadio Ennio Tardini, Parma, Matchday 33 of the Serie A.

What form are both teams in?

Parma took 4 points from their last 5 matches: D L L L W (0.5 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per match).

Atalanta took 5 points from their last 5 matches: D D L L W (1.7 goals scored and 1.9 conceded per match).

Parma are 18th and Atalanta 12th in the Serie A table.

What does the head-to-head say?

Over the last 5 meetings: 2 wins for Parma, 1 draw and 2 wins for Atalanta.

  • 25/01/2026 · Atalanta 4-0 Parma
  • 30/08/2025 · Parma 1-1 Atalanta
  • 25/05/2025 · Atalanta 2-3 Parma
  • 23/11/2024 · Parma 1-3 Atalanta
  • 04/08/2024 · Parma 4-1 Atalanta

How many goals to expect?

At home this season, Parma score 0.6 goals and concede 1.2 per match. Away, Atalanta score 1.3 goals and concede 2.3 per match.

What do the season stats say?

Parma at home this season: 5 matches, 1 clean sheet, 3 without scoring. Most used system: 3-4-2-1.

Atalanta away this season: 4 matches, 0 clean sheets, 1 without scoring. Most used system: 4-3-3.

How does Copafever compute this prediction?

The Copafever model computes the probability of all 81 possible scores of Parma vs Atalanta (0-0 to 8-8) with a Poisson model fed by the real match data: form, home and away results, the table, head-to-head, goals and absentees. For the match result it is combined with the market consensus (margin removed). No odds are shown and Copafever links to no betting site. The full method

In the Serie A, the Copafever model called the right outcome in 60% of the 15 matches already checked (random would be about 33%).

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Copafever · Match analysis · Real data