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Match analysis · 2026/27 season

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JUV vs FIO
Real data🇮🇹 Serie A

Serie A · Matchday 33

Juventus vs Fiorentina: prediction, analysis and match stats

Juventus
#9 in the table
18:30Sun 25 Apr
Fiorentina
#17 in the table

Allianz Stadium, Turin

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Juventus vs Fiorentina prediction: who is the favourite?

According to the Copafever model, Juventus are favourites at 50% (draw 24%, Fiorentina 26%). Most likely score: 2-1.

  • 50 %Juventus
  • 24 %Draw
  • 26 %Fiorentina

Computed on 1 November 2026 at 07:51 · 60% right on 65 checked matches

Juventus vs Fiorentina: key facts

  • Copafever model favourite: Juventus (50%), most likely score 2-1.
  • Better form: Juventus (7 points from 5 matches, against 2).
  • Juventus are 9th and Fiorentina 17th in the Serie A table.
  • Over the last 5 meetings: 1 win for Juventus, 2 draws and 2 wins for Fiorentina.

When and where is Juventus vs Fiorentina?

Juventus host Fiorentina on Sunday, 25 April 2027 at 18:30 (Paris time), at Allianz Stadium, Turin, Matchday 33 of the Serie A.

What form are both teams in?

Juventus took 7 points from their last 5 matches: L W D L W (1.6 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match).

Fiorentina took 2 points from their last 5 matches: D L L L D (1.4 goals scored and 2.1 conceded per match).

Juventus are 9th and Fiorentina 17th in the Serie A table.

What does the head-to-head say?

Over the last 5 meetings: 1 win for Juventus, 2 draws and 2 wins for Fiorentina.

  • 17/05/2026 · Juventus 0-2 Fiorentina
  • 22/11/2025 · Fiorentina 1-1 Juventus
  • 16/03/2025 · Fiorentina 3-0 Juventus
  • 29/12/2024 · Juventus 2-2 Fiorentina
  • 07/04/2024 · Juventus 1-0 Fiorentina

How many goals to expect?

At home this season, Juventus score 1.3 goals and concede 1.0 per match. Away, Fiorentina score 1.5 goals and concede 2.5 per match.

What do the season stats say?

Juventus at home this season: 4 matches, 2 clean sheets, 1 without scoring. Most used system: 4-2-3-1.

Fiorentina away this season: 4 matches, 0 clean sheets, 1 without scoring. Most used system: 4-3-3.

How does Copafever compute this prediction?

The Copafever model computes the probability of all 81 possible scores of Juventus vs Fiorentina (0-0 to 8-8) with a Poisson model fed by the real match data: form, home and away results, the table, head-to-head, goals and absentees. For the match result it is combined with the market consensus (margin removed). No odds are shown and Copafever links to no betting site. The full method

In the Serie A, the Copafever model called the right outcome in 60% of the 15 matches already checked (random would be about 33%).

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Copafever · Match analysis · Real data